Champions League Betting Tips – Group Stage, Matchday 4, Tuesday

Champions League Betting Tips – Group Stage, Matchday 4, Tuesday


Groups E-H take centre stage on Tuesday night with the likes of Manchester City, Leipzig and Barcelona hoping this is the round of games where they can book their places in the last 16 of this season's Champions League.

Certainly holders Manchester City should have little difficulty progressing to the knockout stages – they are at home to Young Boys and rarely lose matches at the Etihad.

And if City win and Leipzig, as forecast, also prevail in Belgrade against Crvena Zvezda, then the top two spots in Group G will be wrapped up with a couple of rounds of action still outstanding.

While that section has very quickly turned into a two-horse race, there is all to play for in Group F with Paris Saint-Germain taken to move to the brink of qualification by beating Milan in Italy.

And Newcastle United can avenge their home loss to Borussia Dortmund by winning in Germany – or at the very least avoiding defeat – to ensure qualification for the knockout phase stays very much in their own hands.

- Man City to win and over 3.5 goals against Young Boys

- Newcastle draw no bet against Dortmund

- Over 2.5 goals Crvena Zvezda vs RB Leipzig

- PSG to beat AC Milan

Manchester City vs Young Boys

Champions League holders Manchester City are preparing for their Group G showdown with Young Boys with an injury concern over Erling Haaland, but that should have no bearing on the outcome at the Etihad.

Haaland turned an ankle during Saturday's 6-1 romp past Bournemouth in the Premier League, missing the second half in which City scored three times.

And even without their prized top scorer, a forward line featuring class acts such as Julian Alvarez, Phil Foden, Jack Grealish and new hero Jeremy Doku should be way too hot for Young Boys to handle.

City have won all three of their group games by 3-1 scorelines, including in Bern two weeks ago.

That consistency of score should encourage a bet on City and over 3.5 goals as the European champions strive to get the win which will book them a place in the knockout stages and put Pep Guardiola in the privileged position of being able to give key players rests during the final two rounds of action.

Young Boys, going well at the top of the Swiss Super League, are on a hiding to nothing in Manchester and it's worth noting that each of the six matches played in Group G so far has yielded exactly four goals.


Borussia Dortmund vs Newcastle United

Borussia Dortmund, a side who have built a reputation for their free-scoring exploits in the Bundesliga and Europe, are strangely quiet in this season's Champions League which should encourage Newcastle as they head to Germany.

These two sides are locked together on four points in Group F, Dortmund holding the edge courtesy of their 1-0 win at St James' Park last time around.

Felix Nmecha's effort was actually Dortmund's first goal of the campaign following a 2-0 defeat at Paris Saint-Germain and 0-0 draw with Milan.

And they drew another blank on Saturday when their domestic revival came to an end with a crushing 4-0 home loss to Bayern Munich.

They are the lowest scorers by some distance in Germany's top six and while home advantage is a major weapon of Dortmund's, Newcastle have little to fear heading to the Westfalenstadion.

Indeed, the Toon will be full of confidence after re-energising their own Premier League campaign on Saturday with a 1-0 win over Arsenal, who had been unbeaten in the Premier League.

Eddie Howe's Magpies, unbeaten in their last five away games, have taken a shine to the Champions League, having already crushed PSG and draw in Milan, so ought to fancy they can make amends for their Dortmund setback. Back them with the draw-no-bet safety net.


Crvena Zvezda vs RB Leipzig

Group G, as mentioned earlier, is not just the group of goals – it's the group of exactly four goals per game. And that, statistically at the very least, means that we can expect a high-scoring clash at the Red Star Stadium.

The Serbs need to win this if they are to have any chance of sneaking into the top two, so expect Barak Bachar's men to be positive, which is pretty much guaranteed anyway.

Red Star are top scorers in the Serbian top flight and have scored in each of their three matches in their current Champions League group-stage campaign.

They will also be encouraged by the fact that Leipzig have lost their last two away games, a German Cup defeat at Wolfsburg followed by a 2-0 loss at Mainz in the Bundesliga.

This game should be full of action – only three clubs have had more shots on target than Leipzig in the competition so far – and while the Germans' pedigree ought to yield an away win, betting on plenty of goals looks the safer bet.


AC Milan vs Paris Saint-Germain

AC Milan are one of two clubs in the tournament who are yet to find the net after three rounds of fixtures, but they still find themselves very much in the qualification hunt.

The Italians are bottom of Group F but only two points behind second place.

However, they are not in great form and not easy to fancy at home to group leaders PSG at the San Siro.

Stefan Pioli's Rossoneri have two points courtesy of goalless draws at home to Newcastle and away in Dortmund before they were thumped 3-0 in Paris.

Home and abroad they have failed to win five of their last six and failed to score in four of those matches.

Top scorer Olivier Giroud has found the net in just one fixture in the last couple of months and even though they are creating chances, Milan's conversion rate is evidently woeful.

The Italian club's cause isn't being helped by a lengthy injury list and they look hugely vulnerable against Kylian Mbappe and company.




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